Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.117247 0.130430 0.144960 0.162250 0.182374 0.205190 0.233210
2024-10-13 0.095039 0.111907 0.131985 0.157960 0.191141 0.232766 0.290015
2024-10-20 0.082057 0.100991 0.124942 0.158131 0.204041 0.267080 0.363537
2024-10-27 0.070981 0.090324 0.115961 0.153464 0.208815 0.290855 0.428833
2024-11-03 0.065548 0.086037 0.114410 0.158141 0.226975 0.337336 0.542816
2024-11-10 0.060926 0.082106 0.112559 0.161703 0.243688 0.385146 0.676092
2024-11-17 0.055608 0.076466 0.107342 0.159005 0.249330 0.414984 0.786401
2024-11-24 0.050868 0.071137 0.101888 0.154961 0.251628 0.438869 0.893771
2024-12-01 0.045856 0.064918 0.094359 0.146347 0.243992 0.441218 0.951819
2024-12-08 0.043181 0.062057 0.091862 0.146022 0.251794 0.477367 1.113330
2024-12-15 0.041590 0.060742 0.091713 0.149784 0.268236 0.537041 1.375989
2024-12-22 0.038766 0.057205 0.087489 0.145445 0.267122 0.555150 1.520994
2024-12-29 0.037638 0.056433 0.088048 0.150522 0.287863 0.636163 1.956203
2025-01-05 0.035439 0.053713 0.084953 0.148071 0.291379 0.673296 2.260961
2025-01-12 0.033915 0.052025 0.083556 0.148878 0.302800 0.737693 2.763926
2025-01-19 0.031879 0.049310 0.080045 0.144847 0.301625 0.763794 3.111852
2025-01-26 0.031114 0.048758 0.080495 0.149309 0.323053 0.872567 4.120244
2025-02-02 0.030265 0.047989 0.080451 0.152670 0.342430 0.984689 5.420998
2025-02-09 0.028828 0.046056 0.077979 0.150195 0.345002 1.035241 6.366593
2025-02-16 0.027368 0.043994 0.075101 0.146455 0.343237 1.068354 7.259457
2025-02-23 0.025564 0.041209 0.070606 0.138460 0.327476 1.036636 7.386315
2025-03-02 0.024678 0.040083 0.069375 0.138160 0.335178 1.112862 9.118984
2025-03-09 0.024223 0.039736 0.069691 0.141657 0.355632 1.261429 12.732703